Thanks to the GST holiday, retail sales surged in December, and the preliminary estimate for January suggests that, despite a decline, retail sales remained well above their November level to start 2025.
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Economic News
To help make credit unions innovation ready, Alberta Central’s Chief Economist Charles St-Arnaud shares his analysis of the latest economic news. These commentaries and insights papers will help you understand what economic trends mean and how they could impact your credit union.
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Underlying inflationary rises despite the temporary GST holiday
Inflation rose to 1.9% in January, remaining in line with the BoC’s inflation target.
A strong labour market as the risk of US tariffs looms
Job gains remained for a third consecutive month with a 76k increase in January.
The US imposes tariffs on Canada. What’s next?
Over the weekend, US President Trump announced 25% tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico, except for energy imports from Canada, which will face a 10% levy.
Activity declines in November, and momentum looks weak
Today’s release of the monthly GDP shows that economic activity remains sluggish despite some improvement in previous months a preliminary number suggesting higher activity in December.
Bank of Canada: A 25bp cut, but heightened uncertainty led to the guidance to be dropped
The Bank of Canada cut its policy rate by 25bp to 3.00% and will end quantitative tightening (QT), which is in line with our expectations.