LEAD 2025
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2025 Outlook: Searching for the terminal rate
Bank of Canada: Another 50bp cut and the easing will continue
More slack in the labour market despite strong job gains means a 50bp cut next week
Modest growth in Q4, but without population growth, it would have been a contraction
Robust retail sales are pointing to a bottoming out in spending per capita
Inflation surprised to the upside but remains in line with the BoC’s target
Insolvencies surged in October
The labour market remains on its weak trend
Robust provincial growth in 2023 supported by strong population gains
Sluggish growth in Q3 points to the need for more rate cuts
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