LEAD 2025
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The economy likely contracted in Q2, but the worst may have passed
Core inflation eased in May, but not enough to alleviate the BoC’s concerns
Retail sales take a tumble in May due to trade uncertainty
Households’ debt burden rises, but the debt-service ratio is unchanged despite lower rates
A sharp rise in insolvencies in April could be the start of a new trend
The labour market remains weak, despite some resilience
Bank of Canada: On hold, as underlying inflation worries supersede a slowing economy
Strong start to 2025, but there are weaknesses below the surface
Retail sales remain robust despite the elevated tariff uncertainty and drop in confidence
Inflation drops as the Carbon Tax comes to an end, but underlying pressures remain strong
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